The study showed that as of 2030, about a quarter of driving miles in the United States could be driven by self-driving electric cars alone.
Although that number might seem high, it’s expected that many urban drivers could be using self-driving cars in order to save money.
BCG found that many people are becoming interested in autonomous technologies, which indicates that people might be willing to commit to them in the future. Many car manufacturers have committed to producing self-driving vehicles and it has become a major focus of the industry, proving that they likely have a strong future among the public.
Some self-driving cars will also produce “shared service fleets” in cities, where cars will be able to pick up people and drive them around as needed. This method, for those that choose to use it, could really help drivers save money because it would provide a cheaper alternative to owning and maintaining a personal vehicle.
However, a drop in the car sales market as a result of this is highly unlikely. The BCG does expect that the overall demand for personal cars will remain high. However, it’s hard to tell who will be car shopping and how new cars might be used as of 2030.
A major hope for shared service fleets is that they will help to reduce traffic congestion in major cities. However, the firm did reveal that if there could potentially be limits on how many self-driving cars could operate at one time in the same area as a result.